Chapter 2: Comparative Advantage and Regions

An Alternative Reason for Cities to Develop

1. Central Place theory describes a system of cities that would emerge as a result of scale and agglomeration economies in a homogeneous plain with no interregional differences in resource endowments or trade among cities of equal size.

2. We now drop the assumption of a featureless plain and assume differences in endowments of resources.

THEORETICAL PRICIPALS OF INTERREGIONAL FIRM LOCATION

The Principle of Comparative Advantage:

1. The principle of comparative advantage says that the value of total output that may be produced in increased if subregions specialize in producing the good for which they have a relative advantage and engage in trade.

2. Adherence to this rule results in the nation being on, rather than inside, its production possibility curve.

3. Trade occurs when different regions have a different mix of inputs, even though one region may have an absolute advantage over another in terms of all input endowments.

4. Although comparative advantage is a rationale for trade, it is a rationale for cities only if there are accompanying scale advantages in transportation associated with city locations.

5. Scale advantages for transport do accompany cities because they locate near waterways or ports, and they have advantages in vehicles, rights of way, and facilities for loading and unloading. Cities then become nodal trade destinations.

Location Decisions of the Firm

Motives for location:

1. The profit motive for business firms has as its purpose the choice of location that maximizes the difference between total revenue and total production plus transportation costs.

2. Other location exists for households, churches, political organizations. We will focus on profit motive for business location, especially producers of goods.

Inertia: Once established then motives exist for no change. Why?

1. Reasons for initial location may still exist.

2. Business ties and cultural relationships evolve over time.

3. There is some relocation risk. (Key personnel, market analysis, available resources, etc.)

Transport Cost Oriented Firm's Location:

1. What determines transport-oriented firm versus a production-oriented firm? Look at production function and the cost of shipping inputs or outputs.

2. A high bulk-to-value or weight-to-value ratio of transferable (versus localized) inputs and outputs.

3. Some inputs are ubiquitous (available everywhere) and do not need to be shipped.

One-Input, One-Market Model of Transport Oriented Firm

Assumptions:

1. Only one transferable input location that differs from one market location.

2. Transportation costs are proportional to distance

3. The price of inputs and products are given to the firm and unaffected by distance.

4. Therefore, firms will maximize profits when they minimize transportation costs.

Figure Showing distribution and assembly cost based upon distance:



assembly costs

distribution costs

M C

Ideal Weight = w x r x d for each product determines the amount of transport costs.

1. Transport oriented firms will locate where their ideal weight is the highest because this minimizes its transportation costs.

2. Weight-losing firms will locate at the materials site to minimize transportation costs. (Lumber mill)

3. Weight-gaining firms will locate at the market site to minimize transportation costs

(Bottling companies)

4. Ideal Weights Exert a Gravitational Pull when more than two locations are possible.

5. Technological change can affect location decisions. Example is shipping of cattle to market before refrigeration versus after refrigerated trucks. Weight losing process was previously market oriented (ship live cattle to Chicago or Fort Worth) City stockyards have since closed.

Why will the firm choose an endpoint location?

1. Economies of long-haul (sensitive to prices as transport costs increase and effect of intermodal competition)

2. Lower terminal costs of loading and unloading.

3. An intermediate location could occur if changing transport methods. (Buffalo on the Great Lakes as a center for flour manufacturing and distribution)

Production Cost Orientation

Reasons for Demise of Transport Cost Importance:

1. Decrease in importance of manufacturing

2. Technology has lowered the cost of transportation more than other inputs.

3. The importance of other localized production inputs are more important.

Labor Costs

1. What is a labor oriented firm?

2. What determines the cost of labor?

3. Why are wages and salary differences not necessarily differences in wage costs.

4. What is the role of unionization and "right to work" laws?

Quality of Life

1. How do amenities affect the location decision of "footloose" firms?

2. Are amenities really independent of compensation costs?

Taxes and Goverment Incentives

1. Do they ad to the efficiency of resource location?

2. Are they essential for economic development?

3. How do they relate to site costs?

Other location Factors

1. Political Stability among Nations

2. Energy Costs and Availability

The Decision Making Process

The Role of Profit Maximization

1. Non profit organizations?

2. Management versus share holder's benefits

The Role of Uncertainty - Game Theory

1. Return is the present value of future outcomes.

2. With subjective probabilities of each potential outcome the entrepreneur could determine the expected values of each choice.

3. Other goals are maximum return, or minimum risk, or return subject to minimim income constraint.

4. In reality, the decision to locate varies considerably among potential firms based upon benefits versus search costs and the use of other subjective criteria.

Steps in Corporate Site-Selection Process

1. Need Recognition. When do decisions take place during the life cycle of the firm. Capacity needs, new products, new competitors, demand growth, contracting versus integration.

2. Establishing the Selection Team. Choice of consultants versus coreporate team. Role of secrecy important.

3. Developing Criteria. Needs versus wants. Tradeoffs between the ideal and available.

4. Winnowing and Focusing. First cut in a broad region. Micro locational factors within a region. Scoring systems by locational consulting firms.

5. Final Decision. Formalized in capital budget and must show a sufficient rate of return to be feasible

Criticisms of large scale computer generated site selection models:

1. False sense of vigor.

2. Fails to predict future growth.

3. May ignored specialized factors in favor of easily quantifiable data.

Changing Relative Importance of Locational Factors

How Useful are Surveys?

1. Introduction of respondent bias.

2. Only existing firms surveyed.

3. Survey instrument may not give enough choices.

Survey Findings:

1. Traditional factors of location - labor, markets, transport costs, and materials remain the most important, but their relative rankings have changed.

2. Traditional factors are becoming relatively less important as a group in more recent surveys.

3. Technological change has reduced the importance of raw materials.

4. State and local taxes are becoming more important.

5. There are more locational factors considered.

REGIONS AND REGIONAL SHIFTS IN THE UNITED STATES, 1790 - 1990

Colonial Times:

1. Most manufactured goods came from Europe, although a few small iron foundries existed. Cities collected along the North Atlantic seaboard to collect and ship grain exports in return for manufacturered imports. Production economies in Europe more than offset higher transportation costs from relatively cheap ocean transport.

2. The growth of cities and decline in overland transport cost in the first half of the nineteenth century led to the feasibility of manufacturing in the north, because of the higher concentration of people. This concentration was due, in part, to the different transport technologies for exporting grain in the North versus tobacco in the South. Grain could be more economically shipped because of its higher value to weight ratio, while tobacco with a high bulk to value ratio was shipped more directly from Southern ports and inland rivers.

3. Water power was also more prevalent in the North, so that Northern colonial cities flourished as a result of exploitation of some exportable resource. Boston exported fish, New York exported furs, and Philadelphia and Baltimore exported wheat. Contact with Europe was more important than contact with each other before the development of import substitution in the early nineteenth century.

4. By 1810 import substitution was well underway in the Northern cities, but not in the South. By 1850 the South was an importer of manufacturered goods from the North.

5. The War of 1812 futher cut off reliance upon British goods. Flooding of US markets by British goods during the Revolution and, again, during the War of 1812 through New York City led to the emergence of NYC as the premier American city rather than Philadelphia.

6. Part of the prosperity in NYC resulted in investment in the Erie Canal. The Erie Canal and packet service for scheduled transatlantic shipping placed NYC as the commercial center of the America and paved the way for the emergence of economies of scale in manufacturing.

7. Pittsburg is another city that emerged as a commercial center founded as Fort Duquesne by the French on the upper Ohio River. As early as 1820 it began to sprout foundries, glass factories, and machine shops, all evidence of import substitution that enhanced economic growth.

8. Between 1890 and 1940 the adoption of electric power and later on the internal combustion engine culminated almost 50 years of innovations that revolutionized interregional transport. The changing location pattern of cities was intimately connected to these innovations.

9. The first of these innovations was the Erie Canal that pushed the fall line of New York city to Detroit and, ultimately, Chicago. This greatly expanded NYC's hinterland.

The Erie Canal did for NYC and Detroit and Chicago what the steamboat did for New Orleans and St. Louis. The importance of St. Louis was further enhanced by the opening of navigation between the Mississippi and Chicago.

10. Navigatable water routes were the primary access to the outside world until the Civil War, and they were the primary determinant of a city's ability to develop a trading hinterland.

The Railroad Era and Beyond

1. The railroad significantly lowered the advantage of water as a medium of bulk transport.

2. With the railroad East-West transport across the country became feasible, and within fairly broad limits railroad could be built anywhere.

3. City founding fathers became instrumental in persuading (bribing) railroad officials to locate at a particular city. Kansas City rather than Leavenworth developed as a meat-packing center after the Hannibal and St. Joseph was persuaded to run through the city in connection with the Union Pacific.

4. Railroad barons held the future of Western city location in their hands. Water based cities Chicago and St.Louis flourished after railroad links developed during the second half of the nineteenth century.

5. Until 1940 the South did not challenge the Northeast in manufacturing because of greater scale economies and the more fully developed railroad network in the more densely settled region. Industry did not move southward despite lower wages and low skilled southerners did not migrate northward to obtaining higher skilled jobs that were being filled by immigrants. Hence, a wide divergence of income existed between the Northeast and the South Atlantic states.

6. Initially, in the West higher wages were necessary to compensate for relatively scarce labor and the higher cost of imported goods. High wages induced migration and growing population in the West, so that by 1910 the West was growing faster in both absolute and relative numbers of people than in the Northeast. Eventually, higher population growth resulted in economies of scale and import substitution that generated even more jobs.

7. The development of the West robbed the Northeast of one of its major export markets and, recently, its relative population growth. Until 1970 outmigrants from the Northeast to the West were replaced by immigrants from Europe and, during the 1960s, immigration of Southern blacks (beginning with the Great Depression and WWII).

8. Beginning in the 1970s the wave of migration by blacks from the South to the Northeast stopped and, in fact, about one-third returned to the South or to the West. The West closed any scale disadvantaged versus the Northeast after World War II.

9. While the Northeast and West patterns were in progress, the South languished in the aftermath of the Civil War and Reconstruction for many decades. The industrial wakening of the South began with the dramatic shift out of agriculture after the 1940s. The migration of Blacks to the Northeast was a combination of push and pull. Push from the loss of agricultural jobs and pull by the slowing of European immigration.

10. The original attraction of manufacturing into the South was in response to relatively low wage rates and lack of union organization.

11. The flight from the Northeast to the Sun Belt was in response to more predictable sources of energy following the mid-1970s energy crisis. Highly skilled whites moved from the midwest to Houston and other oil based cities.

12. While income convergence continued until the 1980s, there was an increase in the divergence of income that rose rapidly in the early 1980s. Two hypotheses are advanced to explain this divergence of income:

a. The oil producing states suffered at the hands of the oil consuming states in the 1980s.

b. The development of high technology defense related industries increased the divergence of skills among regions of the country.